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Two things may be coming into

#34258
stilltime
Participant

Two things may be coming into play here:

1. Friend is not being truthful
2. Friend is on a lucky streak

Lots of betting systems have very poor risk reward metrics. For example you risk $1000 to make $50 but your “winning” percentage is relatively high…maybe you win 95% of the time but your winners are small but that 5% of the time when you lose, you lose all of your winners plus some of your own money. The thing is you can go a long time without losing but if you have a few losers in a row it can get out of hand really really fast. Just some stuff to think about maybe.